New Data Products Show that Marine Mammal Stocks in North Atlantic Are Highly Vulnerable to Climate Change
In September 2023, a National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) study found that a majority of marine mammal stocks managed under U.S. jurisdiction in the western North Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico, and Caribbean Sea are very highly vulnerable or highly vulnerable to climate change. A “stock” is a group of organisms of the same species that occupy the same geographic area and interbreed when mature.
Above: Map depicting the total abundance of marine mammals vulnerable to climate change.
In collaboration with the NOAA Fisheries staff who authored the study, the Marine-life Data & Analysis Team (MDAT) developed new data products that depict the total abundance and species richness of marine mammals in the western North Atlantic (U.S. East Coast) that are vulnerable to climate change.
The eight new data products below can be found in the Portal’s Marine Life them by clicking on the “Marine Mammals” dropdown. Lists of the species included in each of these maps can be viewed in their respective Data Catalog summaries.
- Vulnerability to Climate Change: Abundance - number of individuals in each cell that have very high and high vulnerability to climate change.
- Vulnerability to Climate Change: Species Richness - number of species in each cell that have very high and high vulnerability to climate change.
- Sensitivity to Climate Related Changes in Abundance: Abundance - number of individuals in each cell that have very high and high sensitivity to climate change related changes in abundance.
- Sensitivity to Climate Related Changes in Abundance: Species Richness - number of species in each cell that have very high and high sensitivity to climate change related changes in abundance.
- Sensitivity to Climate Related Changes in Distribution: Abundance - number of individuals in each cell that have very high and high sensitivity to climate change related changes in distribution.
- Sensitivity to Climate Related Changes in Distribution: Species Richness - number of species in each cell that have very high and high sensitivity to climate change related changes in distribution.
- Sensitivity to Climate Related Changes in Phenology: Abundance - number of individuals in each cell that have very high and high sensitivity to climate change related changes in phenology. Changes in phenology are seasonal shifts (either earlier and/or later in the year) or temporal changes (prolonged and/or shortened) of life history events such as breeding or migration.
- Sensitivity to Climate Related Changes in Phenology: Species Richness - number of species in each cell that have very high and high sensitivity to climate change related changes in phenology.
These data products add to an already extensive library of marine life data products that depict the distribution, density, and biomass of marine mammals, sea turtles, seabirds, and fish along the East Coast hosted by MDAT, developed according to recommendations provided by experts throughout the regions and visualized on the Northeast Ocean Data Portal and Mid-Atlantic Ocean Data Portal.
NOAA Fisheries conducts climate vulnerability assessments for coastal and marine habitats and species as part of its Climate Science Strategy. The latest vulnerability assessment for marine mammals was published in PLOS ONE. It provides new information on the potential outlooks for these stocks in the face of a changing climate. The Portals already house similar climate vulnerability data products for fish. You can explore Climate Vulnerability Assessment data for marine mammals and other stocks with NOAA Fisheries' new Climate Vulnerability Assessment Tool.
Resources
- Lettrich MD, Asaro MJ, Borggaard DL, Dick DM, Griffis RB, et al. (2023) Vulnerability to climate change of United States marine mammal stocks in the western North Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico, and Caribbean. PLOS ONE 18(9): e0290643. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0290643
- Roberts, J., Best, B., Mannocci, L. et al. Habitat-based cetacean density models for the U.S. Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico.Sci Rep 6, 22615 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1038/srep22615
- Roberts JJ, Yack TM, Halpin PN (2023) Marine mammal density models for the U.S. Navy Atlantic Fleet Training and Testing (AFTT) study area for the Phase IV Navy Marine Species Density Database (NMSDD). Document version 1.3. Report prepared for Naval Facilities Engineering Systems Command, Atlantic by the Duke University Marine Geospatial Ecology Lab, Durham, North Carolina.
- NOAA Fisheries press release (Sept. 20, 2023): Marine Mammal Stocks in North Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico, and Caribbean Are Highly Vulnerable to Climate Change
- A Method for Assessing the Vulnerability of Marine Mammals to a Changing Climate
- NOAA Fisheries Climate Vulnerability Assessments
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